2026 midterms · Times Voter Trends estimates
How each state voted if only white men had cast ballots, next to how everyone else voted. "Red / blue" shows only which party won each group. "Stepped" also shows by how much: a win of 10 points or more (about 55% to 45%) is "very" (the stronger shade); a closer win is "a little" (the softer shade). Hover or tap a state for its numbers.
| State | Race | White men, share of voters | White men | Everyone else | Gap, points more Democratic |
|---|
Source. The New York Times, Times Voter Trends 2026, one page per state, as published Nov. 7, 2026. White men figures are the NYT's own estimates. State shapes: U.S. Census Bureau, via the us-atlas dataset, built into this page. Washington, D.C. has no data and is shown in gray.
"Everyone else" is calculated, not published. In "Senate where offered" the NYT page prints no all-voter margin, so it comes from the men and women rows; in "House only" it is the page's own figure. Then: everyone else = (all voters − white men's share × white men's margin) ÷ (1 − white men's share). The NYT rounds to whole percents, so these figures can be off by about 2 to 3 points, and a state near the 10-point line could fall on either side. A margin of exactly zero ("Even") is gray in "Red / blue" and colored "a little blue" in "Stepped".
Which race. 2026 had no presidential race, so each state is measured on a race for Congress. "Senate where offered" uses the race each NYT state page shows first: its Senate race in 32 states, its statewide House vote (all of the state's U.S. House votes added together) in 18. "House only" puts all states on the statewide House vote; Alaska's NYT page offers only its Senate race, so it has no House estimate. In "House only", the all-voter margin is the one printed on the NYT page.
Nebraska. Its Senate race may not have had a regular Democratic candidate, so its blue side may not mean Democratic.